In what was a relatively quiet offseason, the Portland Trail Blazers will need shooting guard Will Barton and C.J. McCollum to continue their development for the upcoming season.
This past year saw Will Barton emerge from exciting bench warmer to a more under-control role player. There were glimpses of Barton's talent as a rookie, but too often his desire to play one-on-one and spotty decision-making held him back. While he still plays a bit too "hero ball", Barton started playing more under-control, which led to him seeing more regular playing time towards the end of the regular season.
A lanky wing, Barton's long wingspan can make him a pest on the defensive end. While there was talk of Barton potentially playing some point guard in the second unit, his performance in the 2014 Summer League in that role was inconsistent. Barton will almost assuredly see most of his time spelling Wesley Matthews this season, with the potential to earn some additional playing time at the '3' if the team wants to play small.
Saturday, August 2, 2014
Monday, October 21, 2013
Grading the Deal: Dophins trade for Ravens' Bryant McKinnie
The Miami Dolphins, apparently tired of seeing their second-year quarterback Ryan Tannehill continually battered, have reportedly acquired Baltimore Ravens offensive tackle Bryant McKinnie. McKinnie, who was replaced as the starting left tackle after Baltimore traded for Eugene Monroe a couple of weeks ago, will get another opportunity to become a starter. The move was first reported by Fox Sports' Jay Glazer:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>The Miami Dolphins, who've been dealing w o-line trouble, have traded with the Ravens for Bryant McKinnie according to Ravens sources</p>— Jay Glazer (@JayGlazer) <a href="https://twitter.com/JayGlazer/statuses/392353859969884161">October 21, 2013</a></blockquote>
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The Dolphins have surrendered 26 sacks through six games, including two late in their last-minute loss on Sunday to the Buffalo Bills, the second one which led to a Tannehill lost fumble. Buffalo ate up the next three minutes before making the deciding 31-yard field goal with just over 30 seconds left in the game.
While McKinnie is still no longer the Pro Bowl-caliber player he was for Minnesota during the early-to-mid 2000's, he will likely see he field soon. Tyson Clabo has been beaten regularly at right tackle, while Jonathan Martin has shown improvement but still has a ways to go.
Grade for Miami: B-. Taking a chance on a former Pro Bowler is a fairly low-risk proposition for the Dolphins, who desperately need better play from their offensive line if they want to compete for a playoff spot this season. Perhaps a move to his old collegiate stomping grounds and a warm-weather city could give McKinnie's play a boost.
Grade for Baltimore: B. After acquiring a new offensive tackle in Eugene Monroe, the team clearly had no plans to keep McKinnie after this season. Getting what will likely be a late-round pick for an aging veteran is a solid haul.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>The Miami Dolphins, who've been dealing w o-line trouble, have traded with the Ravens for Bryant McKinnie according to Ravens sources</p>— Jay Glazer (@JayGlazer) <a href="https://twitter.com/JayGlazer/statuses/392353859969884161">October 21, 2013</a></blockquote>
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The Dolphins have surrendered 26 sacks through six games, including two late in their last-minute loss on Sunday to the Buffalo Bills, the second one which led to a Tannehill lost fumble. Buffalo ate up the next three minutes before making the deciding 31-yard field goal with just over 30 seconds left in the game.
While McKinnie is still no longer the Pro Bowl-caliber player he was for Minnesota during the early-to-mid 2000's, he will likely see he field soon. Tyson Clabo has been beaten regularly at right tackle, while Jonathan Martin has shown improvement but still has a ways to go.
Grade for Miami: B-. Taking a chance on a former Pro Bowler is a fairly low-risk proposition for the Dolphins, who desperately need better play from their offensive line if they want to compete for a playoff spot this season. Perhaps a move to his old collegiate stomping grounds and a warm-weather city could give McKinnie's play a boost.
Grade for Baltimore: B. After acquiring a new offensive tackle in Eugene Monroe, the team clearly had no plans to keep McKinnie after this season. Getting what will likely be a late-round pick for an aging veteran is a solid haul.
Sunday, October 20, 2013
Grading the Deal: Jazz re-signing Derrick Favors
The Utah Jazz decided to lock up power forward Derrick Favors to a reported 4 year, $49 million contract extension this week. Favors, 22, was part of a productive duo of young big men that were lodged behind veterans Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap the past two seasons. With both players signing elsewhere this offseason, Favors will see a significant uptick in both minutes and responsibility.
Favors was the main piece in the Deron Williams to New Jersey (now Brooklyn) deal in February of 2011, which also sent Devin Harris (no longer with the team) and two first round picks to Utah. While he hasn't quite developed as quickly as hoped offensively, Favors has shown a propensity for blocking shots (1.7 per game, 12th in NBA last season), and is a strong finisher near the rim. He's also a solid rebounder, and is an above-average athlete for the position.
The Jazz have a lot of young talent, but would have been woefully thin up front if the team elected to have him play out the fourth year of his contract and enter restricted free agency. While a little over $12 million a year might be over-paying for the 9.4 points and 7.1 rebounds he provided last season, the Jazz would have risked losing one of their best young players on a team that's clearly in transition.
Favors' representation could have elected to take the riskier approach and abandon the opportunity for an extension by playing out the season in hopes of getting a richer deal elsewhere. While there could have been a team or two out there willing to spend more than the $12+ million annually he's now set to receive, the risk of injury would hardly be worth it.
Grade for Utah: B. Despite over-paying slightly, the team was able to keep a player they likely view as a core piece in their rebuilding efforts. There is risk with that kind of investment in a player that's still relatively unproven, but it was a calculated risk in this instance.
Grade for Favors: A. There likely wouldn't have been a team to offer much more than Utah had, and the risk of injury in playing out the final year of his rookie deal ultimately wouldn't have been worth it. His contract is also favorable in comparison to other promising young big men like Serge Ibaka ($12.5 million average annual salary) and Javale McGee ($11 million AAS).
Favors was the main piece in the Deron Williams to New Jersey (now Brooklyn) deal in February of 2011, which also sent Devin Harris (no longer with the team) and two first round picks to Utah. While he hasn't quite developed as quickly as hoped offensively, Favors has shown a propensity for blocking shots (1.7 per game, 12th in NBA last season), and is a strong finisher near the rim. He's also a solid rebounder, and is an above-average athlete for the position.
The Jazz have a lot of young talent, but would have been woefully thin up front if the team elected to have him play out the fourth year of his contract and enter restricted free agency. While a little over $12 million a year might be over-paying for the 9.4 points and 7.1 rebounds he provided last season, the Jazz would have risked losing one of their best young players on a team that's clearly in transition.
Favors' representation could have elected to take the riskier approach and abandon the opportunity for an extension by playing out the season in hopes of getting a richer deal elsewhere. While there could have been a team or two out there willing to spend more than the $12+ million annually he's now set to receive, the risk of injury would hardly be worth it.
Grade for Utah: B. Despite over-paying slightly, the team was able to keep a player they likely view as a core piece in their rebuilding efforts. There is risk with that kind of investment in a player that's still relatively unproven, but it was a calculated risk in this instance.
Grade for Favors: A. There likely wouldn't have been a team to offer much more than Utah had, and the risk of injury in playing out the final year of his rookie deal ultimately wouldn't have been worth it. His contract is also favorable in comparison to other promising young big men like Serge Ibaka ($12.5 million average annual salary) and Javale McGee ($11 million AAS).
Sunday, September 29, 2013
Buffalo Bills report card vs. Baltimore Ravens
In what was a sloppy game that featured seven total interceptions and four fumbles (1 lost), the Buffalo Bills were able to eke out a home win against the defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens. Here are the grades for the Bills' performance in all phases of the game.
Quarterback: D
E.J. Manuel's decision-making looked spotty again, and his fourth quarter interception deep inside Baltimore territory cost the team at least three points. Manuel was somewhat loose with the football today, and also lost a fumble on a second quarter sack. There will be growing pains with a rookie quarterback, but Manuel should be able to learn from his struggles against a still-scrappy Baltimore defense.
Running backs: B-
All three of Buffalo's halfbacks saw playing time today, and did a very good job of taking what they could against a very stingy Baltimore run defense. Fred Jackson did fumble twice in the game, but thankfully Buffalo was able to recover both. The injury to starter C.J. Spiller is a concern going forward, as is his surprisingly low per-carry average on the season. The second part of that could be due to the odd play-calling tendencies of coordinator Nathaniel Hackett.
Receivers: C-
The Ravens secondary did a tremendous job of locking down Stevie Johnson, who was held to one catch (which actually lost a yard). Robert Woods was the star of the show today, reeling in a 42-yard touchdown in the second quarter, and nearly coming up with another score in the fourth were it not for a great play by Jimmy Smith. T.J. Graham and Scott Chandler both had respectable games in what was a very run-heavy gameplan this week.
Offensive Line: C
The line was able to hold it's own against Baltimore's front seven against the run, and while Buffalo's 3.7 yards per carry wasn't spectacular, it was over 4.0 prior to Manuel taking five kneel-downs to end the game. In total, Buffalo was able to amass 203 yards on the ground, which is quite a sum no matter how many times a team runs the football. The pass rush was able to get to Manuel early, and he never looked fully settled in afterwards, but the team did do a decent job of holding Baltimore's pass rushers to two sacks.
Defensive line: B
Marcell Dareus notched two sacks, Mario Williams added one, and the front was able to get fairly consistent pressure on Joe Flacco. While Baltimore's equally questionable play-calling saw them only call two runs the entire second half, the line did a good job of eating up blockers while surrendering just 24 yards on nine carries.
Linebackers: A
The only two linebackers who saw consistent playing time were Manny Lawson and rookie Kiko Alonso. Lawson was able to register a sack in the third quarter, while Alonso was able to add two interceptions, including a diving pick in the last minute of the game that just about sealed the win for the Bills. Pass coverage was also respectable throughout the game, as they were able to hold Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson to six catches and 46 yards total. Lawson in particular did a good job of setting the edge against the run as well.
Secondary: B
While Torrey Smith was able to haul in a 72-yard catch, the banged-up secondary actually did a reasonably good job of limiting Baltimore through the air, holding the Ravens to 6.9 yards per attempt. Safety Aaron Williams actually slid over to his old cornerback role due to the injuries to Stephon Gilmore and Leodis McKelvin, and registered two of Buffalo's five interceptions on the day. Jim Leonhard also recorded an interception. Not a bad performance considering the team was missing an All-Pro safety and their top three cornerbacks.
Special teams: B+
Dan Carpenter made all three of his field goal attempts (27.27,22) and had half of his six kickoffs go for touchbacks. Shawn Powell had three punts that went inside the 20, but also had one go through the end zone for a touchback. The coverage units gave up a couple of decent returns (34 yard kick return, 17 yard punt return), but were otherwise solid, as Marcus Easley notched four special teams tackles.
Coaching: C+
While I've been less than impressed with Nathaniel Hackett's play-design and calls, he was smart to try and run the ball against the Ravens, as his offensive line had surrendered eight sacks against the Jets last game. Mike Pettine did a very good job of dialing up blitzes at the right times, which kept the Ravens a bit off-balance at points throughout the game.
Final Grade: B
While the ball security was questionable, this was a big win for a young team and it's coaching staff. Even though the Ravens aren't the same team that won the Super Bowl last season, there are encouraging signs, particularly in the play of the defense. Once the team starts getting some key players like All-Pro safety Jairus Byrd and promising second-year cornerback Stephon Gilmore back from injury, the pass rush could produce even more consistently. While the season is now just one-quarter over, being at .500 with a win over the playoff-minded Ravens is a good way to head into their Thursday night matchup against the Cleveland Browns.
Quarterback: D
E.J. Manuel's decision-making looked spotty again, and his fourth quarter interception deep inside Baltimore territory cost the team at least three points. Manuel was somewhat loose with the football today, and also lost a fumble on a second quarter sack. There will be growing pains with a rookie quarterback, but Manuel should be able to learn from his struggles against a still-scrappy Baltimore defense.
Running backs: B-
All three of Buffalo's halfbacks saw playing time today, and did a very good job of taking what they could against a very stingy Baltimore run defense. Fred Jackson did fumble twice in the game, but thankfully Buffalo was able to recover both. The injury to starter C.J. Spiller is a concern going forward, as is his surprisingly low per-carry average on the season. The second part of that could be due to the odd play-calling tendencies of coordinator Nathaniel Hackett.
Receivers: C-
The Ravens secondary did a tremendous job of locking down Stevie Johnson, who was held to one catch (which actually lost a yard). Robert Woods was the star of the show today, reeling in a 42-yard touchdown in the second quarter, and nearly coming up with another score in the fourth were it not for a great play by Jimmy Smith. T.J. Graham and Scott Chandler both had respectable games in what was a very run-heavy gameplan this week.
Offensive Line: C
The line was able to hold it's own against Baltimore's front seven against the run, and while Buffalo's 3.7 yards per carry wasn't spectacular, it was over 4.0 prior to Manuel taking five kneel-downs to end the game. In total, Buffalo was able to amass 203 yards on the ground, which is quite a sum no matter how many times a team runs the football. The pass rush was able to get to Manuel early, and he never looked fully settled in afterwards, but the team did do a decent job of holding Baltimore's pass rushers to two sacks.
Defensive line: B
Marcell Dareus notched two sacks, Mario Williams added one, and the front was able to get fairly consistent pressure on Joe Flacco. While Baltimore's equally questionable play-calling saw them only call two runs the entire second half, the line did a good job of eating up blockers while surrendering just 24 yards on nine carries.
Linebackers: A
The only two linebackers who saw consistent playing time were Manny Lawson and rookie Kiko Alonso. Lawson was able to register a sack in the third quarter, while Alonso was able to add two interceptions, including a diving pick in the last minute of the game that just about sealed the win for the Bills. Pass coverage was also respectable throughout the game, as they were able to hold Dallas Clark and Ed Dickson to six catches and 46 yards total. Lawson in particular did a good job of setting the edge against the run as well.
Secondary: B
While Torrey Smith was able to haul in a 72-yard catch, the banged-up secondary actually did a reasonably good job of limiting Baltimore through the air, holding the Ravens to 6.9 yards per attempt. Safety Aaron Williams actually slid over to his old cornerback role due to the injuries to Stephon Gilmore and Leodis McKelvin, and registered two of Buffalo's five interceptions on the day. Jim Leonhard also recorded an interception. Not a bad performance considering the team was missing an All-Pro safety and their top three cornerbacks.
Special teams: B+
Dan Carpenter made all three of his field goal attempts (27.27,22) and had half of his six kickoffs go for touchbacks. Shawn Powell had three punts that went inside the 20, but also had one go through the end zone for a touchback. The coverage units gave up a couple of decent returns (34 yard kick return, 17 yard punt return), but were otherwise solid, as Marcus Easley notched four special teams tackles.
Coaching: C+
While I've been less than impressed with Nathaniel Hackett's play-design and calls, he was smart to try and run the ball against the Ravens, as his offensive line had surrendered eight sacks against the Jets last game. Mike Pettine did a very good job of dialing up blitzes at the right times, which kept the Ravens a bit off-balance at points throughout the game.
Final Grade: B
While the ball security was questionable, this was a big win for a young team and it's coaching staff. Even though the Ravens aren't the same team that won the Super Bowl last season, there are encouraging signs, particularly in the play of the defense. Once the team starts getting some key players like All-Pro safety Jairus Byrd and promising second-year cornerback Stephon Gilmore back from injury, the pass rush could produce even more consistently. While the season is now just one-quarter over, being at .500 with a win over the playoff-minded Ravens is a good way to head into their Thursday night matchup against the Cleveland Browns.
Wednesday, September 25, 2013
2013 NFL Rookie Rankings: Week Three
1. Houston Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (18 receptions, 243 yards, TD)
Hopkins was able to catch six passes against the Ravens, but was unable to find paydirt to go along with his 60 receiving yards. Still, Hopkins has become the #2 receiving option this team needs going forward.
Last Week: 1st.
2. Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovanni Bernard (22 rushes, 110 yards, 2 TD, 6 receptions, 84 yards, TD)
Bernard has made an impact, as he was able to account for 99 yards from scrimmage and a score against the Packers this past week. It now seems only a matter of time before he supplants BenJarvus Green-Ellis as the Bengals' starting halfback. It also appears that I didn't give enough credence to his performance the previous week.
Last Week: unranked.
3. Buffalo Bills linebacker Kiko Alonso (27 tackles, 1 sack, 2 INT, 1 FF, 1 FR)
Alonso continues to make plays for the Bills' defense, as he intercepted Geno Smith this past week to go along with 8 tackles. Alonso also performed better against the run this week, and has shown above-average cover skills for a linebacker.
Last Week: 4th.
4. Buffalo Bills quarterback E.J. Manuel (689 passing yards, 4 TD, 1 INT, 86.5 rating, 76 rush yards)
Manuel struggled mightily against the Jets' aggressive blitz packages, as he was unable to hit any deep balls to his receivers against man coverage. Manuel doesn't turn the ball over, but will need to take more chances downfield to open up the run game more.
Last Week: 2nd.
5. Carolina Panthers defensive tackle Star Lotulelei (9 tackles, 1 sack)
Lotulelei hasn't put up eye-popping stats, but has helped Carolina's rush defense hold opponents to just 3.7 yards per rush this season. That being said, the sacks will come.
Last Week: unranked.
6. St. Louis Rams wide receiver Tavon Austin (18 receptions, 118 yards, 2 TD)
Austin caught six more passes, but only accumulated 30 yards on those catches. The Rams will need to use Austin on more than just screens and underneath routes in order to give Austin a better chance to hit the big play.
Last Week: 3rd.
7. Detroit Lions defensive end Ezekiel Ansah (11 tackles, 2.5 sacks, FF)
Ansah recorded two sacks this past weekend, and while he's still very raw in terms of his development, his early productivity is a nice boost to a defense that lost pass rushers Cliff Avril and Kyle Vanden Bosch last offseason.
Last Week: unranked.
8. New England Patriots wide receiver Kenbrell Thompkins (9 receptions, 130 yards, 2 TD)
Thompkins made the most of his three catches, tallying two of those for scores against Tampa Bay last Sunday. While Rob Gronkowski may play next Sunday, Thompkins will still see enough targets to be relevant as long as Danny Amendola is still out.
Last Week: 9th.
9. San Francisco 49ers safety Eric Reid (14 tackles, 2 INT, 3 passes defensed)
In a defense that has looked vulnerable in back-to-back weeks and will now be without troubled pass-rusher Aldon Smith, Reid will have to continue to make an impact for a San Francisco team with Super Bowl aspirations.
Last Week: 6th.
10. New York Jets defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson (16 tackles, 1.5 sacks)
Richardson looked strong against the run, and also notched a sack this past week against Buffalo. Richardson's motor is perhaps his best asset, as he's constantly trying to make a play.
Last Week: unranked.
Honorable Mention:
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marlon Brown (10 receptions, 116 yards, 2 TD); Buffalo Bills wide receiver Robert Woods (7 receptions, 121 yards, TD); New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (801 passing yards, 3 TD, 6 INT, 65.0 rating, 78 rush yards, TD); Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert (9 receptions, 120 yards).
Hopkins was able to catch six passes against the Ravens, but was unable to find paydirt to go along with his 60 receiving yards. Still, Hopkins has become the #2 receiving option this team needs going forward.
Last Week: 1st.
2. Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovanni Bernard (22 rushes, 110 yards, 2 TD, 6 receptions, 84 yards, TD)
Bernard has made an impact, as he was able to account for 99 yards from scrimmage and a score against the Packers this past week. It now seems only a matter of time before he supplants BenJarvus Green-Ellis as the Bengals' starting halfback. It also appears that I didn't give enough credence to his performance the previous week.
Last Week: unranked.
3. Buffalo Bills linebacker Kiko Alonso (27 tackles, 1 sack, 2 INT, 1 FF, 1 FR)
Alonso continues to make plays for the Bills' defense, as he intercepted Geno Smith this past week to go along with 8 tackles. Alonso also performed better against the run this week, and has shown above-average cover skills for a linebacker.
Last Week: 4th.
4. Buffalo Bills quarterback E.J. Manuel (689 passing yards, 4 TD, 1 INT, 86.5 rating, 76 rush yards)
Manuel struggled mightily against the Jets' aggressive blitz packages, as he was unable to hit any deep balls to his receivers against man coverage. Manuel doesn't turn the ball over, but will need to take more chances downfield to open up the run game more.
Last Week: 2nd.
5. Carolina Panthers defensive tackle Star Lotulelei (9 tackles, 1 sack)
Lotulelei hasn't put up eye-popping stats, but has helped Carolina's rush defense hold opponents to just 3.7 yards per rush this season. That being said, the sacks will come.
Last Week: unranked.
6. St. Louis Rams wide receiver Tavon Austin (18 receptions, 118 yards, 2 TD)
Austin caught six more passes, but only accumulated 30 yards on those catches. The Rams will need to use Austin on more than just screens and underneath routes in order to give Austin a better chance to hit the big play.
Last Week: 3rd.
7. Detroit Lions defensive end Ezekiel Ansah (11 tackles, 2.5 sacks, FF)
Ansah recorded two sacks this past weekend, and while he's still very raw in terms of his development, his early productivity is a nice boost to a defense that lost pass rushers Cliff Avril and Kyle Vanden Bosch last offseason.
Last Week: unranked.
8. New England Patriots wide receiver Kenbrell Thompkins (9 receptions, 130 yards, 2 TD)
Thompkins made the most of his three catches, tallying two of those for scores against Tampa Bay last Sunday. While Rob Gronkowski may play next Sunday, Thompkins will still see enough targets to be relevant as long as Danny Amendola is still out.
Last Week: 9th.
9. San Francisco 49ers safety Eric Reid (14 tackles, 2 INT, 3 passes defensed)
In a defense that has looked vulnerable in back-to-back weeks and will now be without troubled pass-rusher Aldon Smith, Reid will have to continue to make an impact for a San Francisco team with Super Bowl aspirations.
Last Week: 6th.
10. New York Jets defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson (16 tackles, 1.5 sacks)
Richardson looked strong against the run, and also notched a sack this past week against Buffalo. Richardson's motor is perhaps his best asset, as he's constantly trying to make a play.
Last Week: unranked.
Honorable Mention:
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marlon Brown (10 receptions, 116 yards, 2 TD); Buffalo Bills wide receiver Robert Woods (7 receptions, 121 yards, TD); New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (801 passing yards, 3 TD, 6 INT, 65.0 rating, 78 rush yards, TD); Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert (9 receptions, 120 yards).
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Grading the Deal: Trent Richardson to the Indianapolis Colts
Just over one year into his NFL career, Trent Richardson, the running back out of Alabama taken third overall in the 2012 draft is now a member of the Indianapolis Colts. While Richardson was drafted by the previous regime in Cleveland and his injury history is a concern, the 22 year old running back was still able to rush for nearly 1,000 yards in his first season, despite playing against some stout defenses in the AFC North.
The Cleveland Browns are seemingly in yet another rebuilding year, and while a first round pick in next year's draft may seem nice on paper, the team likely won't have a pick in the top half of the round due to the Colts potentially contending for a playoff spot again this season. Moreover, they'll be hard-pressed to be able to draft a player that can contribute the way Richardson had to this point in his young career. There was already a promising young corps of skill position players, with emerging tight end Jordan Cameron and second-year wide receiver Josh Gordon (who was suspended for violating the league's drug policy), so subtracting Richardson makes little sense.
For the Colts, this is a win-win scenario. The stable of running backs in Indianapolis was still suspect heading into the 2013 season, and after starter Vick Ballard tore his ACL last week, management obviously didn't feel great about the depth at the position. While a first round pick is a fairly steep price for a running back in what's become a more pass-oriented NFL, the Colts will be getting a player that can make an impact right now for a franchise which struggled to run the ball in 2012.
Grade for Cleveland: C-. Even with a new front office and coaching staff, trading the #3 overall pick just a little bit over one season into their NFL career is a bit of a head-scratcher. The first round pick will bring talent back to Cleveland, but it does nothing to help them this season.
Grade for Indianapolis: B+. The price was a bit high, but with the coaching staff wanting to take some of the pressure off of second-year phenom Andrew Luck and the passing game. A bit of a gamble, but I expect better production from Richardson in Indianapolis, as he will get to play against defenses that are somewhat softer against the run.
The Cleveland Browns are seemingly in yet another rebuilding year, and while a first round pick in next year's draft may seem nice on paper, the team likely won't have a pick in the top half of the round due to the Colts potentially contending for a playoff spot again this season. Moreover, they'll be hard-pressed to be able to draft a player that can contribute the way Richardson had to this point in his young career. There was already a promising young corps of skill position players, with emerging tight end Jordan Cameron and second-year wide receiver Josh Gordon (who was suspended for violating the league's drug policy), so subtracting Richardson makes little sense.
For the Colts, this is a win-win scenario. The stable of running backs in Indianapolis was still suspect heading into the 2013 season, and after starter Vick Ballard tore his ACL last week, management obviously didn't feel great about the depth at the position. While a first round pick is a fairly steep price for a running back in what's become a more pass-oriented NFL, the Colts will be getting a player that can make an impact right now for a franchise which struggled to run the ball in 2012.
Grade for Cleveland: C-. Even with a new front office and coaching staff, trading the #3 overall pick just a little bit over one season into their NFL career is a bit of a head-scratcher. The first round pick will bring talent back to Cleveland, but it does nothing to help them this season.
Grade for Indianapolis: B+. The price was a bit high, but with the coaching staff wanting to take some of the pressure off of second-year phenom Andrew Luck and the passing game. A bit of a gamble, but I expect better production from Richardson in Indianapolis, as he will get to play against defenses that are somewhat softer against the run.
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
2013 NFL Rookie Rankings: Week 2
1. Houston Texans wide receiver De'Andre Hopkins (12 receptions, 183 yards, TD)
After Andre Johnson went down with a concussion, Hopkins took over late in the Texans' comeback victory over Tennessee, finishing with 7 receptions for 117 yards and a touchdown. Hopkins is already emerging as the #2 option that the Texans have long coveted, and will eventually be a more-than-capable replacement for Johnson down the road.
2. Buffalo Bills quarterback E.J. Manuel (446 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 95.9 rating, 36 rush yards)
Manuel showed tremendous poise on leading the Bills to a game-winning 80-yard touchdown drive with less than two minutes left against the Panthers. While he's still a work-in-progress (see his interception when staring down receiver T.J. Graham), the team may have finally found it's long-desired heir to Jim Kelly.
3. St. Louis Rams wide receiver Tavon Austin (12 receptions, 88 yards, 2 TD)
Austin has yet to hit the "home run" play that he's capable of, but has proven to be a great underneath option for quarterback Sam Bradford working out of the slot, where he nearly un-coverable.
4. Buffalo Bills linebacker Kiko Alonso (19 tackles, 1 INT, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble)
Alonso has been making plays all over the field through two games, and his sack of Cam Newton with no time left sealed the 24-23 victory. Alonso is also tied for 8th in the league in tackles.
5. Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marlon Brown (8 receptions, 110 yards, 2 TD)
An undrafted free agent, Brown has used his massive 6'5" frame to become an instant red zone threat for Joe Flacco. While Jacoby Jones is ahead of him on the depth chart, Brown is on his way to becoming the Ravens' second-best wide receiver.
6. San Francisco 49ers safety Eric Reid (9 tackles, 2 interceptions)
While Reid left Sunday's game early due to a concussion, he's done a very good job of replacing departed All-Pro Dashon Goldson in the San Francisco secondary. While he's not as strong in run support as Goldson, it's easy to see why the coaching staff thinks so highly of the LSU product.
7. Buffalo Bills wide receiver Robert Woods (5 receptions, 86 yards, TD)
Many believed that Woods was perhaps the second-most NFL-ready receiver in the draft, and he's done little to make people believe otherwise. A solid route-runner with great hands, he's provided fellow rookie E.J. Manuel another solid receiving option alongside Stevie Johnson.
8. Bengals TE Tyler Eifert (8 receptions, 113 yards)
Eifert is the second-leading receiver among rookies, and is more of a big-play threat that starter Jermaine Gresham. Expect Eifert's production to continue, as receiver A.J. Green will still be the primary focus of opposing defenses.
9. New England Patriots wide receiver Kenbrell Thompkins (6 receptions, 89 yards)
Another undrafted free agent, Thompkins is already ahead of fellow rookies Josh Boyce and Aaron Dobson on the depth chart. His targets will see a big decrease when Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski are in the lineup, but he's still shown to be a solid playmaker.
10. New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (470 passing yards, 1 TD, 4 INT, 55.2 rating, 64 rush yards)
Smith struggled in a rain-soaked game against the Patriots (3 interceptions), but with Mark Sanchez placed on designated-to-return injured reserve, this is his team. He'll be hit-and-miss this year, but there is talent there.
Honorable Mention: Packers RB Eddie Lacy (51 rush yards, TD), Jaguars WR Ace Sanders (78 yards), Jets DT Sheldon Richardson (12 tackles, 0.5 sacks)
After Andre Johnson went down with a concussion, Hopkins took over late in the Texans' comeback victory over Tennessee, finishing with 7 receptions for 117 yards and a touchdown. Hopkins is already emerging as the #2 option that the Texans have long coveted, and will eventually be a more-than-capable replacement for Johnson down the road.
2. Buffalo Bills quarterback E.J. Manuel (446 passing yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 95.9 rating, 36 rush yards)
Manuel showed tremendous poise on leading the Bills to a game-winning 80-yard touchdown drive with less than two minutes left against the Panthers. While he's still a work-in-progress (see his interception when staring down receiver T.J. Graham), the team may have finally found it's long-desired heir to Jim Kelly.
3. St. Louis Rams wide receiver Tavon Austin (12 receptions, 88 yards, 2 TD)
Austin has yet to hit the "home run" play that he's capable of, but has proven to be a great underneath option for quarterback Sam Bradford working out of the slot, where he nearly un-coverable.
4. Buffalo Bills linebacker Kiko Alonso (19 tackles, 1 INT, 1 sack, 1 forced fumble)
Alonso has been making plays all over the field through two games, and his sack of Cam Newton with no time left sealed the 24-23 victory. Alonso is also tied for 8th in the league in tackles.
5. Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marlon Brown (8 receptions, 110 yards, 2 TD)
An undrafted free agent, Brown has used his massive 6'5" frame to become an instant red zone threat for Joe Flacco. While Jacoby Jones is ahead of him on the depth chart, Brown is on his way to becoming the Ravens' second-best wide receiver.
6. San Francisco 49ers safety Eric Reid (9 tackles, 2 interceptions)
While Reid left Sunday's game early due to a concussion, he's done a very good job of replacing departed All-Pro Dashon Goldson in the San Francisco secondary. While he's not as strong in run support as Goldson, it's easy to see why the coaching staff thinks so highly of the LSU product.
7. Buffalo Bills wide receiver Robert Woods (5 receptions, 86 yards, TD)
Many believed that Woods was perhaps the second-most NFL-ready receiver in the draft, and he's done little to make people believe otherwise. A solid route-runner with great hands, he's provided fellow rookie E.J. Manuel another solid receiving option alongside Stevie Johnson.
8. Bengals TE Tyler Eifert (8 receptions, 113 yards)
Eifert is the second-leading receiver among rookies, and is more of a big-play threat that starter Jermaine Gresham. Expect Eifert's production to continue, as receiver A.J. Green will still be the primary focus of opposing defenses.
9. New England Patriots wide receiver Kenbrell Thompkins (6 receptions, 89 yards)
Another undrafted free agent, Thompkins is already ahead of fellow rookies Josh Boyce and Aaron Dobson on the depth chart. His targets will see a big decrease when Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski are in the lineup, but he's still shown to be a solid playmaker.
10. New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (470 passing yards, 1 TD, 4 INT, 55.2 rating, 64 rush yards)
Smith struggled in a rain-soaked game against the Patriots (3 interceptions), but with Mark Sanchez placed on designated-to-return injured reserve, this is his team. He'll be hit-and-miss this year, but there is talent there.
Honorable Mention: Packers RB Eddie Lacy (51 rush yards, TD), Jaguars WR Ace Sanders (78 yards), Jets DT Sheldon Richardson (12 tackles, 0.5 sacks)
Sunday, August 25, 2013
2013 Arizona Cardinals season preview
Offense: The team was simply abysmal last season in every phase of the game, ranking in the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. The offensive line could neither protect the quarterback (league-worst 58 sacks) or open up holes for their running backs (league-worst 3.4 yards per carry). The addition of #8 overall pick Jonathan Cooper was supposed to help, but will likely miss the season with a broken leg. Carson Palmer will take the helm at quarterback, and provides the team with a big-armed quarterback who is better equipped to take advantage of Pro Bowl wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald. Rashard Mendenhall should give the running game a boost, and rookie Stepfan Taylor (6th round, Stanford) is a durable short-yardage back that provides depth behind Mendenhall.
Defense: Perhaps one of the most underrated defenses in the game, Arizona recorded 38 sacks while racking up more interceptions (22, 2nd in NFL) than passing touchdowns allowed (20). The team will miss Kerry Rhodes' production, but the combination of Yeremiah Bell and rookie Tyrann Mathieu (3rd round) should help. Daryl Washington (9.0 sacks) leads a very strong linebacking corps, which also added Kevin Minter (2nd round) to compete for a starting spot alongside Washington and Alex Okafor (4th round) as another edge-rusher in the team's 3-4 scheme. Defensive end Calais Campbell has been playing at a Pro Bowl level the last couple of years, but the team needs former Pro Bowler Darnell Dockett to return to form after a sub-par 2012 season (34 tackles, 1.5 sacks). Cornerback Patrick Peterson is also becoming one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL (7 interceptions), and is a very big threat in the return game.
Impact Free Agent: Running back Rashard Mendenhall. The Cardinals running game has been anemic in recent seasons, and while that could be a by-product of poor offensive line play, the addition of Mendenhall could change things. Mendenhall missed time last season after suffering a torn ACL at the end of the 2011 campaign, and didn't appear 100% when playing last season. If healthy, Mendenhall gives Arizona the best running back they've had in quite some time.
Impact Rookie: Safety/cornerback Tyrann Mathieu. While he's not currently listed as a starter, Mathieu has a knack for making plays. While he's somewhat small for a safety in run support, the Cardinals will probably use him as a center field-type safety on passing downs, and might also see time covering slot receivers. Were it not for being kicked off LSU's football team for repeated drug-related problems, Mathieu probably would have been gone long before the third round.
Player to Watch: Quarterback Carson Palmer. Ever since Kurt Warner retired, the Cardinals offense has been missing the big-play ability from the passing game. While Palmer is not quite the same player that he was in the mid-2000's, he still has a big arm, and should be able to find Larry Fitzgerald more frequently and accurately than any quarterback since Warner.
Record: 5-11 (4th in NFC West)
Defense: Perhaps one of the most underrated defenses in the game, Arizona recorded 38 sacks while racking up more interceptions (22, 2nd in NFL) than passing touchdowns allowed (20). The team will miss Kerry Rhodes' production, but the combination of Yeremiah Bell and rookie Tyrann Mathieu (3rd round) should help. Daryl Washington (9.0 sacks) leads a very strong linebacking corps, which also added Kevin Minter (2nd round) to compete for a starting spot alongside Washington and Alex Okafor (4th round) as another edge-rusher in the team's 3-4 scheme. Defensive end Calais Campbell has been playing at a Pro Bowl level the last couple of years, but the team needs former Pro Bowler Darnell Dockett to return to form after a sub-par 2012 season (34 tackles, 1.5 sacks). Cornerback Patrick Peterson is also becoming one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL (7 interceptions), and is a very big threat in the return game.
Impact Free Agent: Running back Rashard Mendenhall. The Cardinals running game has been anemic in recent seasons, and while that could be a by-product of poor offensive line play, the addition of Mendenhall could change things. Mendenhall missed time last season after suffering a torn ACL at the end of the 2011 campaign, and didn't appear 100% when playing last season. If healthy, Mendenhall gives Arizona the best running back they've had in quite some time.
Impact Rookie: Safety/cornerback Tyrann Mathieu. While he's not currently listed as a starter, Mathieu has a knack for making plays. While he's somewhat small for a safety in run support, the Cardinals will probably use him as a center field-type safety on passing downs, and might also see time covering slot receivers. Were it not for being kicked off LSU's football team for repeated drug-related problems, Mathieu probably would have been gone long before the third round.
Player to Watch: Quarterback Carson Palmer. Ever since Kurt Warner retired, the Cardinals offense has been missing the big-play ability from the passing game. While Palmer is not quite the same player that he was in the mid-2000's, he still has a big arm, and should be able to find Larry Fitzgerald more frequently and accurately than any quarterback since Warner.
Record: 5-11 (4th in NFC West)
2013 New York Jets Season Preview
Offense: While the circus caused by Tim Tebow's lack of playing time went away after his release, the Jets still have a quarterback controversy on their hands after drafting Geno Smith in the second round. Sanchez continues to struggle with his decision-making, and head coach Rex Ryan isn't making it easier for himself in what might be a do-or-die season for both he and Sanchez. The receiving corps should see a boost from Santonio Holmes, who missed 12 games last year. The running back spot has been almost completely re-made, as the team acquired Chris Ivory from New Orleans to compete with Bilal Powell for the starting job. While the Jets did rank 12th in the league in rushing yards, they were only 25th in yards per carry, so whoever wins the job will need to provide more big plays. The offense could only must around 300 yards per game last season, and the Jets surrendered the 5th-most sacks in the league last season. The offensive line likely wasn't the problem so much as Sanchez's shaky play and Shonn Greene's lack of a second gear, but they will still need to do a better job for this offense to be successful.
2013 Miami Dolphins Season Preview
Offense: Ryan Tannehill made strides at quarterback in his rookie season, and will now have a new weapon on offense with the addition of wide receiver Mike Wallace. Both Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas figure to see time in the backfield for the 'Fins, but expect Miller to eventually beat out the plodding (and fumble-prone) Thomas to replace Reggie Bush as Miami's feature back. Along the line, the team has slid second-year tackle Jonathan Martin to the left side to replace the departed Jake Long, while Tyson Clabo was signed from Atlanta to start at right tackle.
2013 Buffalo Bills Season Preview
Buffalo Bills
Offense: New coach Doug Marrone has installed a West Coast-style offense more reliant on the run that under previous coach Chan Gailey, C.J. Spiller is now the unquestioned #1 back on the team, and his 6.0 yards-per-carry in 2012 are an indicator of the big-play potential he brings to the offense. The quarterback job was up for grabs entering training camp, but after Kevin Kolb's poor play and concussion, the job is all but Manuel's for the taking. The receiving corps was re-vamped during the draft, as the Bills selected Robert Woods (USC, 2nd round) and Marquise Goodwin (Texas, 3rd round) to add more playmakers. Woods in particular figures to play a prominent role in the offense this season. The offensive line lost left guard Andy Levitre to free agency, and while Colin Brown appears to have the job won, there will be some drop-off in play at the position.
2013 New England Patriots season preview
New England Patriots
Offense: The 2013 iteration of the Patriots will look significantly different that 2012. The team's top two wide receivers (Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd) are gone, tight end Rob Gronkowski is still recovering from another surgery on his arm, and Aaron Hernandez was released after his arrest on murder charges. Tom Brady is still running the show, and the team did sign receiver Danny Amendola to help fill the void left by Welker's departure. Julian Edelman will need to improve this season as well, as he will likely start opposite Amendola.
The offensive line returns it's entire starting lineup from last year, but will need to see continued improvement from third-year tackle Nate Solder, who is Brady's blindside protector. The running game will likely see more work this year, as Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen will get an increased workload due a somewhat depleted receiving corps.
Offense: The 2013 iteration of the Patriots will look significantly different that 2012. The team's top two wide receivers (Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd) are gone, tight end Rob Gronkowski is still recovering from another surgery on his arm, and Aaron Hernandez was released after his arrest on murder charges. Tom Brady is still running the show, and the team did sign receiver Danny Amendola to help fill the void left by Welker's departure. Julian Edelman will need to improve this season as well, as he will likely start opposite Amendola.
The offensive line returns it's entire starting lineup from last year, but will need to see continued improvement from third-year tackle Nate Solder, who is Brady's blindside protector. The running game will likely see more work this year, as Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen will get an increased workload due a somewhat depleted receiving corps.
Friday, August 23, 2013
Five Buffalo Bills to watch: Preseason Week 3
In the NFL, the third week of the preseason is when starters usually receive their longest in-game action until the regular season begins. With less than two weeks until the final roster cut-down day, here are five Buffalo Bills players to keep an eye on in their preseason tilt against the Minnesota Vikings on Saturday:
1) Da'Rick Rogers
Rogers has been underwhelming in both practices and games to this point of the preseason. He has the physical tools to be an asset to the team, but has struggled to make plays while some of his competition (namely Marcus Easley and Chris Hogan) has stood out on tape. How much playing time Rogers receives this week will likely give people a good idea as to whether head coach Doug Marrone believes Rogers is a better fit on the practice squad or the 53-man roster.
2) Kevin Kolb
The "boo-birds" were out in force in the his debut at Ralph Wilson Stadium, as Kolb struggled in the early-going. With first round pick E.J. Manuel sidelined the rest of the preseason, Kolb will have an opportunity to regain some confidence by getting some extended run against Washington. With Stevie Johnson expected to play this week, there is no reason people shouldn't expect a better performance from him this week.
3) Justin Rogers
Rogers missed a good portion of training camp due to an ankle injury, and has seen players like Crezdon Butler play well in his absence. With three cornerback spots already locked up (Stephon Gilmore, Leodis McKelvin, Ron Brooks and Butler), Rogers will need to make up his lost ground to hold off players like T.J. Heath and Nickell Robey for a spot on the final roster.
4) Da'Norris Searcy
Searcy is solid defending the run, but has struggled mightily in coverage throughout the preseason. Converted cornerback Aaron Williams seemingly has the starting strong safety spot locked up with a very strong camp, and with two mid-round draft picks at safety on the roster (Duke Williams, Jonathan Meeks), Searcy needs to perform better in coverage to avoid being placed on the chopping block.
5) Alan Branch
The team signed Branch away from the Seahawks to add depth to the defensive line rotation. Throughout training camp, he has struggled to make plays, and appears to have been passed up on the depth chart by Jay Ross. While it's unlikely Branch gets cut due to his positional versatility, he'll need to make more of an impact if he wants to see the field regularly.
1) Da'Rick Rogers
Rogers has been underwhelming in both practices and games to this point of the preseason. He has the physical tools to be an asset to the team, but has struggled to make plays while some of his competition (namely Marcus Easley and Chris Hogan) has stood out on tape. How much playing time Rogers receives this week will likely give people a good idea as to whether head coach Doug Marrone believes Rogers is a better fit on the practice squad or the 53-man roster.
2) Kevin Kolb
The "boo-birds" were out in force in the his debut at Ralph Wilson Stadium, as Kolb struggled in the early-going. With first round pick E.J. Manuel sidelined the rest of the preseason, Kolb will have an opportunity to regain some confidence by getting some extended run against Washington. With Stevie Johnson expected to play this week, there is no reason people shouldn't expect a better performance from him this week.
3) Justin Rogers
Rogers missed a good portion of training camp due to an ankle injury, and has seen players like Crezdon Butler play well in his absence. With three cornerback spots already locked up (Stephon Gilmore, Leodis McKelvin, Ron Brooks and Butler), Rogers will need to make up his lost ground to hold off players like T.J. Heath and Nickell Robey for a spot on the final roster.
4) Da'Norris Searcy
Searcy is solid defending the run, but has struggled mightily in coverage throughout the preseason. Converted cornerback Aaron Williams seemingly has the starting strong safety spot locked up with a very strong camp, and with two mid-round draft picks at safety on the roster (Duke Williams, Jonathan Meeks), Searcy needs to perform better in coverage to avoid being placed on the chopping block.
5) Alan Branch
The team signed Branch away from the Seahawks to add depth to the defensive line rotation. Throughout training camp, he has struggled to make plays, and appears to have been passed up on the depth chart by Jay Ross. While it's unlikely Branch gets cut due to his positional versatility, he'll need to make more of an impact if he wants to see the field regularly.
Wednesday, August 21, 2013
Bills face difficult decision with Da'Rick Rogers
It may puzzle some that there's even discussion on how an undrafted player who has clearly been out-performed by at least six receivers currently on the Buffalo Bills' roster is even in the conversation for a roster spot. The problem facing Buffalo's coaching staff and front office is that Da'Rick Rogers hardly fits the looks the part of any normal UDFA, and has the physical profile to become a very good NFL receiver.
Despite making the All-SEC second team as a sophomore, Rogers was dismissed for Tennessee due to repeated signs of immaturity and off-field issues (failed drug tests, disorderly conduct, resisting arrest). Rogers dominated the FCS in his lone season at Tennessee Tech, and also excelled at the NFL's Scouting Combine, as he was one of the top performers in several events (high jump, broad jump, 20 and 60-yard shuttles and 3-cone drill). In spite of his production and athletic profile, Rogers' baggage was enough to have him go undrafted. Shortly after the draft's conclusion, Rogers was signed by the Bills to compete for a roster spot. Along with a host of others, I believed that the physical talent Buffalo was able to acquire without spending a draft pick was worth the risk. To this point in training camp, he's failed to live up to his pre-camp hype, while players like Chris Hogan and Marcus Easley have given credence to the notion that Rogers' spot on the 53-man roster is hardly a guaranteed deal.
Buffalo will likely carry a maximum of six receivers entering this season, and four of them (Stevie Johnson, T.J. Graham, Robert Woods and Marquise Goodwin) are locks. If the Bills release Rogers prior to the season, the odds he clears waivers (which is necessary for Buffalo to sign him to their practice squad) are slim, as teams which are thin at receiver wouldn't hesitate to claim him.
Should the Bills keep Rogers on the roster, it'd largely be based on his untapped potential. The team has received some significant value out of keeping a developmental guy on the roster (All-Pro tackle Jason Peters was a tight end in college and hardly saw the field his rookie season while he developed), but could be passing up on someone who would contribute more to the team right away.
My gut feeling says that Rogers will make the team, and a more deserving player (based on production) like Easley, Hogan, Brandon Kaufman or even Brad Smith hits the unemployment line. Ultimately, for a team that's still rebuilding, gambling on Rogers is the right (if risky) choice.
Despite making the All-SEC second team as a sophomore, Rogers was dismissed for Tennessee due to repeated signs of immaturity and off-field issues (failed drug tests, disorderly conduct, resisting arrest). Rogers dominated the FCS in his lone season at Tennessee Tech, and also excelled at the NFL's Scouting Combine, as he was one of the top performers in several events (high jump, broad jump, 20 and 60-yard shuttles and 3-cone drill). In spite of his production and athletic profile, Rogers' baggage was enough to have him go undrafted. Shortly after the draft's conclusion, Rogers was signed by the Bills to compete for a roster spot. Along with a host of others, I believed that the physical talent Buffalo was able to acquire without spending a draft pick was worth the risk. To this point in training camp, he's failed to live up to his pre-camp hype, while players like Chris Hogan and Marcus Easley have given credence to the notion that Rogers' spot on the 53-man roster is hardly a guaranteed deal.
Buffalo will likely carry a maximum of six receivers entering this season, and four of them (Stevie Johnson, T.J. Graham, Robert Woods and Marquise Goodwin) are locks. If the Bills release Rogers prior to the season, the odds he clears waivers (which is necessary for Buffalo to sign him to their practice squad) are slim, as teams which are thin at receiver wouldn't hesitate to claim him.
Should the Bills keep Rogers on the roster, it'd largely be based on his untapped potential. The team has received some significant value out of keeping a developmental guy on the roster (All-Pro tackle Jason Peters was a tight end in college and hardly saw the field his rookie season while he developed), but could be passing up on someone who would contribute more to the team right away.
My gut feeling says that Rogers will make the team, and a more deserving player (based on production) like Easley, Hogan, Brandon Kaufman or even Brad Smith hits the unemployment line. Ultimately, for a team that's still rebuilding, gambling on Rogers is the right (if risky) choice.
Sunday, August 18, 2013
Buffalo Bills roster battle: Wide Receiver
A weakness entering the 2013 offseason, the Buffalo Bills' front office has done a great job of infusing some young talent to a receiving corps that was almost completely devoid of depth at the end of 2012. The position is so deep that there will likely be at least one or two players that will be signed to another team's active roster following the league's final cut-down day on August 31st. Here is a player-by-player breakdown of the players competing for a spot at receiver:
Stevie Johnson - Despite a pesky hamstring injury that has forced him to miss the first two preseason games, Johnson is clearly the best receiver on this roster. Johnson is not the biggest or fastest wide receiver in the league, but is one of the NFL's premiere route runners, using an array of subtle moves to create space at the line of scrimmage. Johnson is very adept at finding soft spots in zones, and uses his frame well to shield the ball from defenders. At 27 years old, Johnson is still clearly in his prime. As long as he can stay healthy, Johnson should approach 1,000 yards receiving this season.
Odds of making team: 100%
Robert Woods - The most NFL-ready receiver (along with St. Louis' Tavon Austin) in this past year's draft, Woods is a polished route runner with great hands. Coming from a pro-style system at USC really prepared him well for the NFL, and should be a consistent contributor in new offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett's West Coast-principled offense.
Odds of making team: 99%
Marquise Goodwin - A lot of people (including myself) were surprised that Buffalo chose Goodwin in the third round with more polished prospects still on the board. Goodwin has acquit himself well through training camp, showing a surprisingly good ability to run block for a player of his stature (5'9", 177) and great body control when making a catch. He's still a bit of a work-in-progress as a receiver, but has shown the ability to blow the top off of defenses in scrimmages, as well as his 107-yard kickoff return against the Colts.
Odds of making team: 99%
T.J. Graham - As a rookie last year, Graham was very raw when it came to route running, and had major issues with catching the football. Thus far through camp, the speedy Graham has shown improvement in both areas, and is in competition with 2013 second round pick Robert Woods for the team's #2 receiver spot.
Odds of making team: 98%
Marcus Easley - Almost a forgotten man entering training camp, Easley has made a strong case with the new coaching staff. Through two preseason games, Easley has shown a knack for getting open (10 catches, 140 yards) despite hardly seeing the field in his first three seasons. If he can continue to contribute on special teams, there may be a spot on the roster for him.
Odds of making team: 55%
Brad Smith - Brought onto the roster prior to the 2011 season by former general manager Buddy Nix, Smith was used largely on special teams or in then-head coach Chan Gailey's version of the Wildcat. With Buffalo having promising return men (Leodis McKelvin, Marquise Goodwin), as well as some promising prospects, Smith's hold on a roster spot is tenuous, in spite of restructuring his contract prior to the start of preseason.
Odds of making team: 50%
Da'Rick Rogers - Definitely the most interesting of the undrafted players signed, Rogers has the size/speed profile of a potential first round pick. The biggest reasons why he slid were multiple failed drug tests while at the University of Tennessee, as well as a perceived bad attitude/laziness. Rogers has thus far failed to make a big impact in training camp, but has the potential to develop into a #1 receiver if he can get his character questions in order. The decision on whether Rogers makes the final 53-man roster will be one of the tougher decisions that head coach Doug Marrone will have, as the likelihood of him not being signed off of the Bills' practice squad by another team are slim.
Odds of making team: 45%
Chris Hogan - Outside of the four players that are guaranteed a roster spot (Johnson, Graham, Woods and Goodwin), perhaps no player has had as solid of a training camp as Hogan. Also a solid contributor on special teams thus far, Hogan's biggest competition is likely with Brad Smith and Da'Rick Rogers.
Odds of making team: 45%
Brandon Kaufman - At 6'5", Kaufman's biggest asset is his size, which he uses well to shield the ball from defenders. Kaufman lacks great top-end speed and needs to improve his route-running in order to make himself a can't-cut kind of guy. Right now he's facing an uphill battle for a roster spot, unless an injury or surprise cut happens. A potential practice squad player.
Odds of making team: 15%
DeMarco Sampson - Despite good size (6'2", 204), Sampson doesn't have the lateral movement or explosiveness to take the top off of defenses, and is likely going to be let go in the first round of cuts.
Odds of making team: 5%
Stevie Johnson - Despite a pesky hamstring injury that has forced him to miss the first two preseason games, Johnson is clearly the best receiver on this roster. Johnson is not the biggest or fastest wide receiver in the league, but is one of the NFL's premiere route runners, using an array of subtle moves to create space at the line of scrimmage. Johnson is very adept at finding soft spots in zones, and uses his frame well to shield the ball from defenders. At 27 years old, Johnson is still clearly in his prime. As long as he can stay healthy, Johnson should approach 1,000 yards receiving this season.
Odds of making team: 100%
Robert Woods - The most NFL-ready receiver (along with St. Louis' Tavon Austin) in this past year's draft, Woods is a polished route runner with great hands. Coming from a pro-style system at USC really prepared him well for the NFL, and should be a consistent contributor in new offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett's West Coast-principled offense.
Odds of making team: 99%
Marquise Goodwin - A lot of people (including myself) were surprised that Buffalo chose Goodwin in the third round with more polished prospects still on the board. Goodwin has acquit himself well through training camp, showing a surprisingly good ability to run block for a player of his stature (5'9", 177) and great body control when making a catch. He's still a bit of a work-in-progress as a receiver, but has shown the ability to blow the top off of defenses in scrimmages, as well as his 107-yard kickoff return against the Colts.
Odds of making team: 99%
T.J. Graham - As a rookie last year, Graham was very raw when it came to route running, and had major issues with catching the football. Thus far through camp, the speedy Graham has shown improvement in both areas, and is in competition with 2013 second round pick Robert Woods for the team's #2 receiver spot.
Odds of making team: 98%
Marcus Easley - Almost a forgotten man entering training camp, Easley has made a strong case with the new coaching staff. Through two preseason games, Easley has shown a knack for getting open (10 catches, 140 yards) despite hardly seeing the field in his first three seasons. If he can continue to contribute on special teams, there may be a spot on the roster for him.
Odds of making team: 55%
Brad Smith - Brought onto the roster prior to the 2011 season by former general manager Buddy Nix, Smith was used largely on special teams or in then-head coach Chan Gailey's version of the Wildcat. With Buffalo having promising return men (Leodis McKelvin, Marquise Goodwin), as well as some promising prospects, Smith's hold on a roster spot is tenuous, in spite of restructuring his contract prior to the start of preseason.
Odds of making team: 50%
Da'Rick Rogers - Definitely the most interesting of the undrafted players signed, Rogers has the size/speed profile of a potential first round pick. The biggest reasons why he slid were multiple failed drug tests while at the University of Tennessee, as well as a perceived bad attitude/laziness. Rogers has thus far failed to make a big impact in training camp, but has the potential to develop into a #1 receiver if he can get his character questions in order. The decision on whether Rogers makes the final 53-man roster will be one of the tougher decisions that head coach Doug Marrone will have, as the likelihood of him not being signed off of the Bills' practice squad by another team are slim.
Odds of making team: 45%
Chris Hogan - Outside of the four players that are guaranteed a roster spot (Johnson, Graham, Woods and Goodwin), perhaps no player has had as solid of a training camp as Hogan. Also a solid contributor on special teams thus far, Hogan's biggest competition is likely with Brad Smith and Da'Rick Rogers.
Odds of making team: 45%
Brandon Kaufman - At 6'5", Kaufman's biggest asset is his size, which he uses well to shield the ball from defenders. Kaufman lacks great top-end speed and needs to improve his route-running in order to make himself a can't-cut kind of guy. Right now he's facing an uphill battle for a roster spot, unless an injury or surprise cut happens. A potential practice squad player.
Odds of making team: 15%
DeMarco Sampson - Despite good size (6'2", 204), Sampson doesn't have the lateral movement or explosiveness to take the top off of defenses, and is likely going to be let go in the first round of cuts.
Odds of making team: 5%
Sunday, August 11, 2013
Grading the Portland Trail Blazers' off-season additions
The Portland Trail Blazers now have a full 15 guaranteed contracts under their belt for the upcoming 2013-2014 season. All through last season, the bench was highly criticized for lacking any sort of fire power offensively, and the frontcourt depth was severely lacking, particularly at center. There was little doubt that general manager Neil Olshey's biggest priority this summer was to improve the level of talent throughout the roster, and with around $10 million in cap space, here is what Portland added to the mix this off-season:
Additions
Allen Crabbe (draft) - A second-round selection out of California, Crabbe has a long ways to go to crack the playing rotation, but was a very good shooter in college and will add depth to the back end of the bench. With the added depth in the back-court, Crabbe will likely be spending some time with the Idaho Stampede (Portland's D-League affiliate), or could be a throw-in as part of a trade should the team have an opportunity to improve their roster.
Additions
Allen Crabbe (draft) - A second-round selection out of California, Crabbe has a long ways to go to crack the playing rotation, but was a very good shooter in college and will add depth to the back end of the bench. With the added depth in the back-court, Crabbe will likely be spending some time with the Idaho Stampede (Portland's D-League affiliate), or could be a throw-in as part of a trade should the team have an opportunity to improve their roster.
Thursday, June 27, 2013
2013 NBA Draft Live Results
With the first pick of the 2013 NBA Draft almost in, Sports Junkie Online will be live-blogging the entire first round with results and analysis
1. Cleveland Cavaliers select forward Anthony Bennett of UNLV
Analysis: It didn't take long for the first surprise of the draft, as the Cavaliers passed on Nerlens Noel and Alex Len. The Cavaliers have a need in the frontcourt, and Bennett reminds me some of Timberwolves forward Derrick Williams. He's a bit of a tweener, but has the athleticism, size and overall game to become a very good NBA player. It will be interesting to see how he fits alongside Tristan Thompson, as they will be competing for minutes in the frontcourt.
2. Orlando Magic select shooting guard Victor Oladipo of Indiana
The has a need at shooting guard, and Oladipo could potentially develop into a great offensive player. An excellent athlete, Oladipo has the length, strength and athleticism to defend wings right away, and can hit the open three while at Indiana. While Nikola Vucevic is there, I'm surprised that the team did pass on Noel. Perhaps the knee injury is scaring teams off. Oladipo has a very high floor, and at very worst, should be a more athletic version of Portland guard Wesley Matthews.
3. Washington Wizards select small forward Otto Porter of Georgetown
With a need at small forward, Porter is a safe pick whose versatile game will fit in well with John Wall and Bradley Beal. He's not necessarily a great defender, and will need to improve his jumper, but has above-average court vision and like Oladipo, should be a starter right away for the Wizards. Ariza is best as a high-energy reserve, but Porter could come in as a second-unit facilitator.
4. Charlotte Bobcats select forward/center Cody Zeller of Indiana
Charlotte with a bit of a reach here, as the team sorely needs to improve it's interior defense, as well as on the wing. Ben McLemore would have made a lot more sense, as would taking someone with a high ceiling like Alex Len or Nerlens Noel (one of whom will likely go next to Phoenix). Zeller has better athleticism than he gets credit for, but needs to get stronger to hold position in the post defensively.
5. Phoenix Suns select center Alex Len of Maryland
Len is another good athlete who is a bit of a project. Like Zeller, he'll need to add play with more consistency and effort, but flashes more defensively than Zeller and has a solid offensive game. My biggest concern over taking someone this high is that he didn't land on any of the three All-ACC teams. He should be in the rotation for new coach Jeff Hornacek, and should develop into a serviceable NBA center in a couple of years. The lack of production against collegiate competition is a concern.
6. New Orleans Pelicans select forward/center Nerlens Noel of Kentucky (proposed trade to Philadelphia)
Back-to-back years that New Orleans selects a Kentucky big man with their first pick in the draft. While frighteningly similar to Anthony Davis in body build and game, Noel is the slightly better athlete, but needs more development to his offensive game, which consists of mostly of putbacks and dunks. I almost think this pick was made for another team, as their potential front line is too similar for my liking.
Update: According to ESPN, Noel is likely on the move the 76ers, who have the 11th pick.
7. Sacramento Kings select shooting guard Ben McLemore of Kansas
A high-ceiling player who projects as a top-tier shooting guard down the road. He's got a great jump shot, but like Bradley Beal last year, needs to work on the ability to create his own shot. This likely shows that the team isn't likely to retain guard/forward Tyreke Evans, who is a restricted free agent this summer.
I'm going to guess this Pistons will take Michigan point guard Trey Burke, which would allow Brandon Knight to slide to his more natural two-guard position.
8. Detroit Pistons select shooting guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope of Georgia
Caldwell-Pope is a good athlete whose long wingspan will wreak havoc on the passing lanes. He's also got a great shooting stroke, but needs to develop his ball-handling and positioning on defense. It looks like the Pistons believe that Knight will be their long-term answer at point guard. A nice young core is developing in Detroit, as Knight, KCP, Monroe and Drummond could develop into an exciting young team.
9. Minnesota Timberwolves select point guard Trey Burke of Michigan (proposed trade to Utah)
With Ricky Rubio still in the fold, this has got to be a selection for another team. Burke is a winner, and has a solid shooting stroke, but his lack of size and only average athleticism will make it more difficult to get into the lane like he was able to in college. He'll make good decisions with the basketball, and whoever gets Burke (assuming Flip Saunders isn't taking a page out of former GM David Kahn's book in drafting point guards) should have a solid point guard and excellent leader.
ESPN is reporting that Burke is potentially on his way to Utah, who badly needs a point guard.
10. Portland Trail Blazers select guard C.J. McCollum of Lehigh
McCollum will likely come in as a reserve, but has the ball-handling ability to play alongside Lillard to get more looks off the ball. McCollum has a great shooting stroke, and can come off screens, as well as create his own shot. Portland was in dire need of bench production last year, and if McCollum is actually Portland's pick, should fill a major need for the team.
11. Philadelphia 76ers select point guard Michael Carter-Williams of Syracuse
With Jrue Holiday rumored to be on the move (reported by Yahoo! and ESPN) in the deal to acquire Noel, the Sixers grab their new point guard of the future. At 6'6", MCW has the size to be a major disruptor, and has great floor vision. While his decision-making and shooting need some work, he has the biggest upside of any point guard in the draft.
12. Oklahoma City Thunder select center Steven Adams of Pittsburgh
Kendrick Perkins' effectiveness has waned some over the past year, so the Thunder grab a bit of a project in Adams. Adams flashed above-average athleticism at the draft combine, and has an NBA-ready body. Adams can learn behind Perkins for the next year, and will likely be a defensive cog in the middle a couple of years down the road.
13. Dallas Mavericks select forward/center Kelly Olynyk of Gonzaga
According to a Yahoo! report, Olynyk is on the move to the Celtics. If that holds true, the team gets a stretch big man who can contribute in a rotation right away. He's got a decent face-up game, and is also a good passer for a big man. He won't do much of anything defensively, but should work as a high-post facilitator as well.
14. Utah Jazz select guard Shabazz Muhammad of UCLA (proposed trade to Minnesota)
The Timberwolves need scoring at the wing, and while Muhammad needs to work on his right hand, he has an NBA body and should be able to attack the basket effectively in the pros. He's got a great wingspan, but needs to work harder on the defensive end to become a good starter down the road. Backcourt shots should be available for Minnesota, and Muhammad is not shy about taking them.
15. Milwaukee Bucks select small forward Giannis Antetokounmpo
A Youtube highlight reel waiting to happen, Antetokounmpo has a solid all-around skill set. While he doesn't want to stay in Europe another season, he'll need to add more muscle and learn the game of basketball more before he can be a contributor for the Bucks, who seem to be in rebuilding mode.
16. Boston Celtics select center Lucas Noguiera of Brazil (proposed trade with Atlanta through Dallas)
Noguiera has a great wingspan and the ability to block shots, but doesn't rebound at a high rate and needs to add more bulk to his seven-foot frame (215 pounds). While his offense is almost non-existent, interior defense is always at a premium, and "Bebe" should find his way into an NBA rotation in the future.
17. Atlanta Hawks select point guard Dennis Schroeder of Germany
A long, athletic point guard, Schroeder has shown the ability to score in a variety of ways in Europe, and has the potential to develop into a good perimeter defender. With Jeff Teague a restricted free agent, Schroeder could be a potential replacement if the team were to lose Teague this offseason.
18. Atlanta Hawks select point guard Shane Larkin of Miami (FL) (proposed trade to Dallas)
The son of Hall of Fame baseball player Barry, Shane is somewhat undersized at 5'10", but has great athleticism. A heady player, Larkin's ability to shoot the ball helps open up the lane, where he does a great job of finding the open shooter on the kickout.
19. Cleveland Cavaliers select shooting guard Sergey Karasev of Russia
Karasev is only a so-so athlete, but plays has a great basketball IQ, and his jump shot is NBA ready. Karasev is has the potential to be a starter if he can improve his defense more, but he'll earn most of his playing time in the second-unit.
20. Chicago Bulls select shooting guard Tony Snell of New Mexico
The Bulls lacked perimeter shooting last season, and with Derrick Rose returning next season, a floor spacer was an absolute must. Snell has a great jumpshot, and has enough length and athleticism to become a respectable defender in the league. Great pickup by Chicago.
21. Utah Jazz select Louisville center Gorgui Dieng (proposed trade with Minnesota)
Dieng reminds me of a little more polished offensive version of Festus Ezeli. While Dieng may not have a lot of upside, he has an emerging face-up game to go along with good shot-blocking, cleans the glass well and has a great defensive IQ.
22. New Jersey Nets select center Mason Plumlee of Duke
Plumlee is a high-energy player that rebounds at a high rate and provides the team with an athletic frountcourt player. While his offensive game is still evolving and he isn't a great defender, Plumlee fits nicely into the Nets' rotation.
23. Indiana Pacers select forward Solomon Hill of Arizona
Hill is a 'tweener forward, and he does a little bit of everything well. While he lacks the lateral quickness to guard the best NBA small forwards, Hill has a good basketball IQ and could find himself in the rotation backing up Paul George and Danny Granger.
24. New York Knicks select shooting guard Tim Hardaway Jr. of Michigan
With Iman Shumpert already in the fold, the addition of Hardaway likely means the team is likely going to allow J.R. Smith to walk in free agency. A good athlete who can shoot the ball well and has the potential to become a good defender due to his combination of length and athleticism.
25. Los Angeles Clippers select guard/forward Reggie Bullock of North Carolina
A solid shooter, Bullock can defend both wing positions, and is also a solid rebounder. Bullock will likely find himself in the rotation early, as Caron Butler's effectiveness fading and Grant Hill retiring leaves a lot of wing minutes open.
26. Minnesota Timberwolves select Andre Roberson (proposed trade with Thunder through Golden State)
Roberson is a bit undersized for a power forward at 6'7" and 206 pounds, but he's a great rebounder and weakside shot-blocker. His offensive game is still developing but can play both forward positions if the team decides to go with a small lineup.
27. Denver Nuggets select center Rudy Gobert of France
Gobert needs to spend another year in Europe to continue his development, as the Nuggets have a good amount of depth in the frontcourt. With a 7'9" wingspan, Gobert has the length to be a very good shot-blocker, and is a decent athlete.
Update: There is apparently a trade in the works between the Nuggets and Jazz regarding Gobert. If it's true, Gobert has a better chance of coming over, as both Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson are free agents this summer, and Gobert provides the team a complimentary backup to likely '13-'14 starter Enes Kanter at center.
28. San Antonio Spurs select forward Livio Jean-Charles of France
Jean-Charles provides the team with a potential Euro-stash that could develop into a rotation-caliber combo forward in the mold of Travis Outlaw. He has a great wingspan, and if he wants to play for Pop, Jean-Charles will need to develop more on defense.
29. Oklahoma City Thunder select shooting guard Archie Goodwin of Kentucky (proposed trade with Phoenix through Golden State)
Goodwin struggled mightily in SEC play for the Wildcats, but shows a willingness and ability to get to the free throw line. He'll need to develop his jump-shot more, as NBA defenses will sag off of him until it improves.
30. Phoenix Suns select shooting guard Nemanja Nedovic of Serbia (proposed trade with Golden State)
Nedovic is an attack but undersized two-guard who relies heavily on his athleticism to get to the basket. It will be interesting to see whether the Suns bring him over this season (which is highly likely as the Suns are clearly in rebuilding mode).
1. Cleveland Cavaliers select forward Anthony Bennett of UNLV
Analysis: It didn't take long for the first surprise of the draft, as the Cavaliers passed on Nerlens Noel and Alex Len. The Cavaliers have a need in the frontcourt, and Bennett reminds me some of Timberwolves forward Derrick Williams. He's a bit of a tweener, but has the athleticism, size and overall game to become a very good NBA player. It will be interesting to see how he fits alongside Tristan Thompson, as they will be competing for minutes in the frontcourt.
2. Orlando Magic select shooting guard Victor Oladipo of Indiana
The has a need at shooting guard, and Oladipo could potentially develop into a great offensive player. An excellent athlete, Oladipo has the length, strength and athleticism to defend wings right away, and can hit the open three while at Indiana. While Nikola Vucevic is there, I'm surprised that the team did pass on Noel. Perhaps the knee injury is scaring teams off. Oladipo has a very high floor, and at very worst, should be a more athletic version of Portland guard Wesley Matthews.
3. Washington Wizards select small forward Otto Porter of Georgetown
With a need at small forward, Porter is a safe pick whose versatile game will fit in well with John Wall and Bradley Beal. He's not necessarily a great defender, and will need to improve his jumper, but has above-average court vision and like Oladipo, should be a starter right away for the Wizards. Ariza is best as a high-energy reserve, but Porter could come in as a second-unit facilitator.
4. Charlotte Bobcats select forward/center Cody Zeller of Indiana
Charlotte with a bit of a reach here, as the team sorely needs to improve it's interior defense, as well as on the wing. Ben McLemore would have made a lot more sense, as would taking someone with a high ceiling like Alex Len or Nerlens Noel (one of whom will likely go next to Phoenix). Zeller has better athleticism than he gets credit for, but needs to get stronger to hold position in the post defensively.
5. Phoenix Suns select center Alex Len of Maryland
Len is another good athlete who is a bit of a project. Like Zeller, he'll need to add play with more consistency and effort, but flashes more defensively than Zeller and has a solid offensive game. My biggest concern over taking someone this high is that he didn't land on any of the three All-ACC teams. He should be in the rotation for new coach Jeff Hornacek, and should develop into a serviceable NBA center in a couple of years. The lack of production against collegiate competition is a concern.
6. New Orleans Pelicans select forward/center Nerlens Noel of Kentucky (proposed trade to Philadelphia)
Back-to-back years that New Orleans selects a Kentucky big man with their first pick in the draft. While frighteningly similar to Anthony Davis in body build and game, Noel is the slightly better athlete, but needs more development to his offensive game, which consists of mostly of putbacks and dunks. I almost think this pick was made for another team, as their potential front line is too similar for my liking.
Update: According to ESPN, Noel is likely on the move the 76ers, who have the 11th pick.
7. Sacramento Kings select shooting guard Ben McLemore of Kansas
A high-ceiling player who projects as a top-tier shooting guard down the road. He's got a great jump shot, but like Bradley Beal last year, needs to work on the ability to create his own shot. This likely shows that the team isn't likely to retain guard/forward Tyreke Evans, who is a restricted free agent this summer.
I'm going to guess this Pistons will take Michigan point guard Trey Burke, which would allow Brandon Knight to slide to his more natural two-guard position.
8. Detroit Pistons select shooting guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope of Georgia
Caldwell-Pope is a good athlete whose long wingspan will wreak havoc on the passing lanes. He's also got a great shooting stroke, but needs to develop his ball-handling and positioning on defense. It looks like the Pistons believe that Knight will be their long-term answer at point guard. A nice young core is developing in Detroit, as Knight, KCP, Monroe and Drummond could develop into an exciting young team.
9. Minnesota Timberwolves select point guard Trey Burke of Michigan (proposed trade to Utah)
With Ricky Rubio still in the fold, this has got to be a selection for another team. Burke is a winner, and has a solid shooting stroke, but his lack of size and only average athleticism will make it more difficult to get into the lane like he was able to in college. He'll make good decisions with the basketball, and whoever gets Burke (assuming Flip Saunders isn't taking a page out of former GM David Kahn's book in drafting point guards) should have a solid point guard and excellent leader.
ESPN is reporting that Burke is potentially on his way to Utah, who badly needs a point guard.
10. Portland Trail Blazers select guard C.J. McCollum of Lehigh
McCollum will likely come in as a reserve, but has the ball-handling ability to play alongside Lillard to get more looks off the ball. McCollum has a great shooting stroke, and can come off screens, as well as create his own shot. Portland was in dire need of bench production last year, and if McCollum is actually Portland's pick, should fill a major need for the team.
11. Philadelphia 76ers select point guard Michael Carter-Williams of Syracuse
With Jrue Holiday rumored to be on the move (reported by Yahoo! and ESPN) in the deal to acquire Noel, the Sixers grab their new point guard of the future. At 6'6", MCW has the size to be a major disruptor, and has great floor vision. While his decision-making and shooting need some work, he has the biggest upside of any point guard in the draft.
12. Oklahoma City Thunder select center Steven Adams of Pittsburgh
Kendrick Perkins' effectiveness has waned some over the past year, so the Thunder grab a bit of a project in Adams. Adams flashed above-average athleticism at the draft combine, and has an NBA-ready body. Adams can learn behind Perkins for the next year, and will likely be a defensive cog in the middle a couple of years down the road.
13. Dallas Mavericks select forward/center Kelly Olynyk of Gonzaga
According to a Yahoo! report, Olynyk is on the move to the Celtics. If that holds true, the team gets a stretch big man who can contribute in a rotation right away. He's got a decent face-up game, and is also a good passer for a big man. He won't do much of anything defensively, but should work as a high-post facilitator as well.
14. Utah Jazz select guard Shabazz Muhammad of UCLA (proposed trade to Minnesota)
The Timberwolves need scoring at the wing, and while Muhammad needs to work on his right hand, he has an NBA body and should be able to attack the basket effectively in the pros. He's got a great wingspan, but needs to work harder on the defensive end to become a good starter down the road. Backcourt shots should be available for Minnesota, and Muhammad is not shy about taking them.
15. Milwaukee Bucks select small forward Giannis Antetokounmpo
A Youtube highlight reel waiting to happen, Antetokounmpo has a solid all-around skill set. While he doesn't want to stay in Europe another season, he'll need to add more muscle and learn the game of basketball more before he can be a contributor for the Bucks, who seem to be in rebuilding mode.
16. Boston Celtics select center Lucas Noguiera of Brazil (proposed trade with Atlanta through Dallas)
Noguiera has a great wingspan and the ability to block shots, but doesn't rebound at a high rate and needs to add more bulk to his seven-foot frame (215 pounds). While his offense is almost non-existent, interior defense is always at a premium, and "Bebe" should find his way into an NBA rotation in the future.
17. Atlanta Hawks select point guard Dennis Schroeder of Germany
A long, athletic point guard, Schroeder has shown the ability to score in a variety of ways in Europe, and has the potential to develop into a good perimeter defender. With Jeff Teague a restricted free agent, Schroeder could be a potential replacement if the team were to lose Teague this offseason.
18. Atlanta Hawks select point guard Shane Larkin of Miami (FL) (proposed trade to Dallas)
The son of Hall of Fame baseball player Barry, Shane is somewhat undersized at 5'10", but has great athleticism. A heady player, Larkin's ability to shoot the ball helps open up the lane, where he does a great job of finding the open shooter on the kickout.
19. Cleveland Cavaliers select shooting guard Sergey Karasev of Russia
Karasev is only a so-so athlete, but plays has a great basketball IQ, and his jump shot is NBA ready. Karasev is has the potential to be a starter if he can improve his defense more, but he'll earn most of his playing time in the second-unit.
20. Chicago Bulls select shooting guard Tony Snell of New Mexico
The Bulls lacked perimeter shooting last season, and with Derrick Rose returning next season, a floor spacer was an absolute must. Snell has a great jumpshot, and has enough length and athleticism to become a respectable defender in the league. Great pickup by Chicago.
21. Utah Jazz select Louisville center Gorgui Dieng (proposed trade with Minnesota)
Dieng reminds me of a little more polished offensive version of Festus Ezeli. While Dieng may not have a lot of upside, he has an emerging face-up game to go along with good shot-blocking, cleans the glass well and has a great defensive IQ.
22. New Jersey Nets select center Mason Plumlee of Duke
Plumlee is a high-energy player that rebounds at a high rate and provides the team with an athletic frountcourt player. While his offensive game is still evolving and he isn't a great defender, Plumlee fits nicely into the Nets' rotation.
23. Indiana Pacers select forward Solomon Hill of Arizona
Hill is a 'tweener forward, and he does a little bit of everything well. While he lacks the lateral quickness to guard the best NBA small forwards, Hill has a good basketball IQ and could find himself in the rotation backing up Paul George and Danny Granger.
24. New York Knicks select shooting guard Tim Hardaway Jr. of Michigan
With Iman Shumpert already in the fold, the addition of Hardaway likely means the team is likely going to allow J.R. Smith to walk in free agency. A good athlete who can shoot the ball well and has the potential to become a good defender due to his combination of length and athleticism.
25. Los Angeles Clippers select guard/forward Reggie Bullock of North Carolina
A solid shooter, Bullock can defend both wing positions, and is also a solid rebounder. Bullock will likely find himself in the rotation early, as Caron Butler's effectiveness fading and Grant Hill retiring leaves a lot of wing minutes open.
26. Minnesota Timberwolves select Andre Roberson (proposed trade with Thunder through Golden State)
Roberson is a bit undersized for a power forward at 6'7" and 206 pounds, but he's a great rebounder and weakside shot-blocker. His offensive game is still developing but can play both forward positions if the team decides to go with a small lineup.
27. Denver Nuggets select center Rudy Gobert of France
Gobert needs to spend another year in Europe to continue his development, as the Nuggets have a good amount of depth in the frontcourt. With a 7'9" wingspan, Gobert has the length to be a very good shot-blocker, and is a decent athlete.
Update: There is apparently a trade in the works between the Nuggets and Jazz regarding Gobert. If it's true, Gobert has a better chance of coming over, as both Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson are free agents this summer, and Gobert provides the team a complimentary backup to likely '13-'14 starter Enes Kanter at center.
28. San Antonio Spurs select forward Livio Jean-Charles of France
Jean-Charles provides the team with a potential Euro-stash that could develop into a rotation-caliber combo forward in the mold of Travis Outlaw. He has a great wingspan, and if he wants to play for Pop, Jean-Charles will need to develop more on defense.
29. Oklahoma City Thunder select shooting guard Archie Goodwin of Kentucky (proposed trade with Phoenix through Golden State)
Goodwin struggled mightily in SEC play for the Wildcats, but shows a willingness and ability to get to the free throw line. He'll need to develop his jump-shot more, as NBA defenses will sag off of him until it improves.
30. Phoenix Suns select shooting guard Nemanja Nedovic of Serbia (proposed trade with Golden State)
Nedovic is an attack but undersized two-guard who relies heavily on his athleticism to get to the basket. It will be interesting to see whether the Suns bring him over this season (which is highly likely as the Suns are clearly in rebuilding mode).
Thursday, April 18, 2013
Grading the Trail Blazers: LaMarcus Aldridge
With the 2012-2013 season now in the books, it's now time to review how each of the Trail Blazers did this year. The first in this series will be the team's All Star power forward LaMarcus Aldridge:
Statistical Review
Aldridge had another solid season, averaging 21.1 points, as well as career-highs in both rebounding (9.1) and assists (2.6). While his field goal percentage dipped nearly three points from last year, a part of that can be attributed to the high level of attention opposing teams paid to him as the only true low-post scoring threat on Portland's roster.
Highlight
Statistically speaking, Aldridge's best game came in the season finale against the Warriors, where he posted 30 points, 21 rebounds and 3 blocks in just over 32 minutes. Aldridge could have put up even bigger numbers, but head coach Terry Stotts never brought him off the bench when it was just a seven-point game midway through the fourth quarter.
Lowlight
A disappointing 6-point, 3 rebound performance on just 2-11 shooting in the team's 36-point road loss to the New Orleans Hornets on February 13th. While Anthony Davis and Robin Lopez are decent defensively, Aldridge couldn't get it going. Perhaps even more disappointing that his stat line was the way he wasn't able to get his teammates to compete, as the final spread indicates a team that gave up early in the contest.
Area(s) to Improve
Heading into next season, I'd like to see Aldridge become more of a vocal leader. Despite being one of the best power forwards in the game, Aldridge doesn't demand the ball nearly enough, and has the demeanor of a #2 option. While rookie point guard Damian Lillard may eventually assume the mantle of Portland's primary scoring option, the young Trail Blazers need Aldridge to ruffle some people's feathers every now and again.
Season Grade: B+
Statistical Review
Aldridge had another solid season, averaging 21.1 points, as well as career-highs in both rebounding (9.1) and assists (2.6). While his field goal percentage dipped nearly three points from last year, a part of that can be attributed to the high level of attention opposing teams paid to him as the only true low-post scoring threat on Portland's roster.
Highlight
Statistically speaking, Aldridge's best game came in the season finale against the Warriors, where he posted 30 points, 21 rebounds and 3 blocks in just over 32 minutes. Aldridge could have put up even bigger numbers, but head coach Terry Stotts never brought him off the bench when it was just a seven-point game midway through the fourth quarter.
Lowlight
A disappointing 6-point, 3 rebound performance on just 2-11 shooting in the team's 36-point road loss to the New Orleans Hornets on February 13th. While Anthony Davis and Robin Lopez are decent defensively, Aldridge couldn't get it going. Perhaps even more disappointing that his stat line was the way he wasn't able to get his teammates to compete, as the final spread indicates a team that gave up early in the contest.
Area(s) to Improve
Heading into next season, I'd like to see Aldridge become more of a vocal leader. Despite being one of the best power forwards in the game, Aldridge doesn't demand the ball nearly enough, and has the demeanor of a #2 option. While rookie point guard Damian Lillard may eventually assume the mantle of Portland's primary scoring option, the young Trail Blazers need Aldridge to ruffle some people's feathers every now and again.
Season Grade: B+
Wednesday, March 20, 2013
Can the Trail Blazers afford to NOT re-sign J.J. Hickson?
After re-signing him on a one-year, $4 million deal, Portland has got tremendous value from J.J. Hickson this season, as he's averaging a double-double, while shooting a career-high 56.3% from the field. After a relatively cool market on Hickson led to him re-signing with Portland, as teams were no doubt leery to make a big money long-term commitment for what amount to a strong 20-game stretch, Hickson's strong performance this season will no doubt make him a valuable commodity.
Still just 24 years old, Hickson should be entering the prime of his career, and his strength and athleticism allow him to be one of the best per-minute rebounders in the NBA. His 10.7 rebounds per game rank him 8th in the entire NBA, and nobody ahead of him on that list plays fewer minutes per game than Hickson. He's also a major threat on the pick-and-roll, where he uses that great athleticism to attack the basket (though his free throw shooting has been spotty to this point).
Hickson is not without his limitations, as he's struggled defensively while playing at center (he's a natural power forward), as his size (6'9", 239) makes him one of the shortest centers in the league. He also struggles when forced to hedge on pick-and-rolls, and gets caught out of position when Portland switches to a zone defense.
While Portland and general manager Neil Olshey no doubt have bigger names in mind with their cap room (which could potentially be around $12 million), Hickson has proven to be a productive and consistent performer this season. Should the team miss out on some of the marquee free agents they might pursue, it would perhaps be prudent for the team to consider bringing Hickson back on a long-term contract. Though he's ideally better suited as the first big man off the bench, a re-signed Hickson would provide the team time for rookie center Meyers Leonard to develop while giving the team a solid young frontcourt rotation around All Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge.
Still just 24 years old, Hickson should be entering the prime of his career, and his strength and athleticism allow him to be one of the best per-minute rebounders in the NBA. His 10.7 rebounds per game rank him 8th in the entire NBA, and nobody ahead of him on that list plays fewer minutes per game than Hickson. He's also a major threat on the pick-and-roll, where he uses that great athleticism to attack the basket (though his free throw shooting has been spotty to this point).
Hickson is not without his limitations, as he's struggled defensively while playing at center (he's a natural power forward), as his size (6'9", 239) makes him one of the shortest centers in the league. He also struggles when forced to hedge on pick-and-rolls, and gets caught out of position when Portland switches to a zone defense.
While Portland and general manager Neil Olshey no doubt have bigger names in mind with their cap room (which could potentially be around $12 million), Hickson has proven to be a productive and consistent performer this season. Should the team miss out on some of the marquee free agents they might pursue, it would perhaps be prudent for the team to consider bringing Hickson back on a long-term contract. Though he's ideally better suited as the first big man off the bench, a re-signed Hickson would provide the team time for rookie center Meyers Leonard to develop while giving the team a solid young frontcourt rotation around All Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge.
Monday, March 18, 2013
O.J. Mayo = potential Trail Blazers target?
Anyone who has watched more than a handful of Trail Blazers games this season can see that the team doesn't get much in the way of production from their bench. The backcourt scoring has been almost non-existent, as the combination of Sasha Pavlovic and Will Barton have produced little offensively. Pavlovic is a defensive-minded player, while Barton has shown almost no discretion with the ball, leading to a lot of ill-advised shots.
Eric Maynor has provided the team with some production behind likely Rookie of the Year Damian Lillard, but will have the chance to test the free agent market after the season. Fellow rookie Victor Claver has shown good basketball instincts and awareness on the defensive end, but his size (6'9"), average lateral quickness and lack of a scorer's mentality make him more of a combo forward than a guard.
While there will be plenty of solid guards on the free agent market, perhaps no player is better suited for the Trail Blazers than O.J. Mayo. Mayo has had a career year with the Mavericks, and will likely opt out of his $4.2 million player option for next year. The Trail Blazers have struggled to find any kind of scoring from their second unit this season, and Mayo is instant-offense off the bench. While he's defensively limited due to being somewhat short for a two-guard (6'4"), he has reasonably good ball-handling, and would allow Lillard to play more off-ball.
With Portland having anywhere between $8-$12 million in cap space this offseason, the team could realistically sign Mayo to a multi-year contract starting at $6 million per season, and still have enough money to either re-sign J.J. Hickson or another center. Whether either party has interest in the other at this time is anyone's guess, but it would be wise of Portland general manager Neil Olshey to put in his due diligence.
Eric Maynor has provided the team with some production behind likely Rookie of the Year Damian Lillard, but will have the chance to test the free agent market after the season. Fellow rookie Victor Claver has shown good basketball instincts and awareness on the defensive end, but his size (6'9"), average lateral quickness and lack of a scorer's mentality make him more of a combo forward than a guard.
While there will be plenty of solid guards on the free agent market, perhaps no player is better suited for the Trail Blazers than O.J. Mayo. Mayo has had a career year with the Mavericks, and will likely opt out of his $4.2 million player option for next year. The Trail Blazers have struggled to find any kind of scoring from their second unit this season, and Mayo is instant-offense off the bench. While he's defensively limited due to being somewhat short for a two-guard (6'4"), he has reasonably good ball-handling, and would allow Lillard to play more off-ball.
With Portland having anywhere between $8-$12 million in cap space this offseason, the team could realistically sign Mayo to a multi-year contract starting at $6 million per season, and still have enough money to either re-sign J.J. Hickson or another center. Whether either party has interest in the other at this time is anyone's guess, but it would be wise of Portland general manager Neil Olshey to put in his due diligence.
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