It seems as though this year has more coaches on the hot seat than any in recent memory. I've compiled a list of the head coaches that are potentially on the chopping block, as well as the likelihood of them no longer in their current position before the 2012 NFL season.
Tony Sparano, Miami Dolphins
I almost feel bad for the guy, in that the team he had back in his first season over-achieved by such a large margin (went from 1-15 in 2007 to 11-5) that it almost set unreal expectations. The team has largely lacked elite talent, especially at skill positions. As an example, here are the quarterbacks he's had under center since taking over in Miami: Chad Pennington, Chad Henne, Tyler Thigpen and Matt Moore. In a league that's become increasingly quarterback-driven, the Dolphins have had almost zero consistency over this time (outside of Pennington's 2008 season), putting extra pressure on the running game and forcing the defense to play almost-perfect football. Throw in the fact that they've had to play the Patriots and Jets twice a year, and that'd make life pretty difficult for ANY coach.
Odds for 2012: Miniscule
Norv Turner, San Diego Chargers
A man who's been well-liked and well respected at every stop, this year looks to be his swan song in sunny San Diego. This team has immense talent on offense, but has been horrifically inconsistent, espcially Philip Rivers (19 turnovers thru 9 games). They appeared to shake off their bad early season starts this year, but are now just 1-4 in their past five games (4-5 overall). Short of a long playoff run, we'll likely see a new coach at the helm for the Chargers in 2012.
Odds for 2012: Slim
Andy Reid, Philadelphia Eagles
Reid has consistently produced in both the regular season (120 wins) and postseason (10-9, 5 NFC championship games) since being named head coach in 1999. With arguably his most talented team (possibly the NFL) has started off 3-6 this season, and is almost assuredly going to be out of the playoffs come January. "The Dream Team" that was assembled this offseason led to extraordinary expectations, and a failure to make a deep playoff run may end his 13 year tenure in Philly.
Odds for 2012: Tenuous
Jack Del Rio, Jacksonville Jaguars
The second head coach in Jaguars franchise history, Del Rio-coached teams have made just two playoff appearances in his nine years, and are currently on their way to a fourth straight non-winning season. The unexpected ouster of longtime starting quarterback David Garrard a few days before the season opener was likely a cost-cutting decision made by the front office, which thrust rookie Blaine Gabbert into action early. Del Rio won't have much trouble finding work, as he's got a very good defensive mind (even this season's team has the #4 total defense in the league), but it does appear that a change is more than likely coming at season's end.
Odds for 2012: Slim
Todd Haley, Kansas City Chiefs
They have played the majority of their season without their top rusher (Jamaal Charles) and best defender (Eric Berry), as both went down in the first two weeks of the season with torn ACL's. Todd Haley is a hard coach to work for, as he fired former offensive coordinator Chan Gailey just before the 2009 season. Charlie Weis had success as the Chiefs playcaller last season, but took the same position with a college team (Florida). They are only one game out of the division lead, but if the losses mount, player and fan frustration may start to boil over.
Odds for 2012: Fair
Mike Shanahan, Washington Redskins
The Redskins are currently mired in a five game losing streak, and their offense has been a mess. Injuries to Tim Hightower (torn ACL, out for season) and Santana Moss (hand) have hurt, but the biggest problem they have is at quarterback. John Beck and Rex Grossman are both fringe NFL quarterbacks, but Mike Shanahan has this un-wavering belief in his ability to coach that he thinks he can make any quarterback good. The fact of the matter is, Shanahan is still living off of his success with John Elway, who last played a regular season game in 1998. Through his first 25 games as Redskins head coach, the team is 9-16. Team owner Daniel Snyder is known for having a quick trigger with head coaches, and that record will likely not sit well with him. Snyder is the same guy who spent big money luring Steve Spurrier out of the college ranks to run his team, only to fire him after two seasons, and also sent Marty Schottenheimer packing after one 8-8 season.
Odds for 2012: Questionable
Steve Spagnuolo, St. Louis Rams
A team that I was buying into heavily before the season started, the Rams have taken a major step back this season, as Sam Bradford has suffered from somewhat of a sophomore slump (55.3% completions, 1,587 yards, 4 TD in 7 games), and their offensive line has done a poor job of protecting the QB (32 sacks thru 9 games). Their defense has been porous against the run, ranking dead last allowing 150.6 yards per game (5.1 per carry), and they have the worst scoring offense in the league (12.6 per game). The only real bright spot has been the play of Steven Jackson, who has ran for 707 yards on 5.1 yards per carry in eight games this season. "Spags" will likely need to win at least a few games the rest of the way to have a good chance to stick around for next season (10-31 overall, 2-7 in 2011).
Odds for 2012: Questionable
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